From: Ken Just To: Subject: Charizard Odds Date: Tuesday, October 12, 1999 2:46 PM Brian Brokaw Re: What are the odds of getting a charizard? You're answer is 100% correct but doesn't really answer the question. The better question is how many booster pack do you have to buy to get a charizrd? The answer is 1-(47/48)^n=.90 Where n is the # of booster packs you need to buy. With 90% probability of success. You get 48 from 1 in 3 boosters is a holo and there are 16 holos. n = 109 If you buy 109 booster packs you will have a 90% chance of gettin a charizard. Now obviously you could get him in only one try but 109 will more or less guarantees it. How many booster packs packs does it take to "catch em all"? The math is too complicated for anyone here to care but the answer is for a 70% chance to "catch em all" buy 184 packs for a 80% chance to "catch em all" buy 205 packs for a 90% chance to "catch em all" buy 240 packs for a 99% chance to "catch em all" buy 335 packs Once again you could get lucky and get all 16 holos in 16 trys but this is the probability of get all the holo cards. The other cards are so common that you will always get them before you get the holos. At $3 a pack times 240 it will cost you $720. Boy I wish I owned Wizards! A pokemon father, Ken Just __________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? Bid and sell for free at http://auctions.yahoo.com