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Pojo's MTG
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The Dragon's Den
More people are starting to play competitively again
with the banning of Ravager and his buddy (Disciple of
the Vault). This is no surprise. This is what
everyone
wanted (and expected) when the bannings were announced.
When attendance creeps up, I almost always get questions
regarding ratings. What is your rating good for? Is it
worth working on? How do you get a higher rating?
Well, if you can follow along today, I'll tell you.
Before getting into details about what your rating does,
let me explain how it is calculated. Here is the ELO
system and how it applies to Magic: the Gathering as
stated in the DCI Floor Rules:
The Elo player-rating system compares players' match
records against their opponents' match records and
determines the probability of the player winning the
matchup. This probability factor determines how many
points a players' rating goes up or down based on the
results of each match. When a player defeats an opponent
with a higher rating, the player's rating goes up more
than if he or she defeated a player with a lower rating
(since players should defeat opponents who have lower
ratings). All new players start out with a base rating
of 1600. The DCI uses the following equation to
determine a player's win probability in each match:
1
Win Probability = -------------------------------------------------------------- 10^((Opponent's Rating-Player's Rating)/400) + 1
This probability is then used to recalculate each
player's rating after the match. In the equation below,
players receive 1 point if they win the match, 0 if they
lose, and 0.5 for a draw. Players' new ratings are
determined as follows:
Player's New Rating = Player's Old Rating + (K-Value *
(Scoring Points-Player's Win Probability))
For those not too good at math, let me explain what this
all means. Your rating is going to up or down after
each match. The number of points it rises or falls is
determined by two factors. The first is your opponent's
rating. If they are higher than you, you stand to gain
more points and risk losing as many. On the flipside of
things, if your opponent's rating is lower, you stand to
gain less and risk losing more. In theory, in a perfect
world, if everyone played up to (or down to) their
potential, as based on rating, this is the fairest
system there is. The other thing that determines your
points is the K-value. This number is set at the start
of the tournament. This is anywhere from 8K to 48K.
There are various guidelines that determine each level.
Now we need to talk about what a rating can to for you.
Ultimately, what you can do with a rating is get byes or
invites in large events. That's the goal. For
instance, once your rating reached 1800 in the
appropriate format, you get a first round bye in Grand
Prix events with the matching format. So, if you reach
1800 in constructed, you have earned a first round bye
in a constructed format Grand Prix. If you have reached
1800 in limited, you have earned a first round bye in a
limited format Grand Prix event. The next two major
plateaus for byes are 1900 (second round bye) and 2000
(third round bye).
People look at byes and want to shake their head. When
you put things in perspective, these byes are huge.
Let's say the event you are attending has 400 players
(honestly most GP events have more). If you get even a
first round bye, you will basically be starting one win
ahead of almost half the field (excluding others with
byes of course). That saves you a lot of trouble. I'm
sure you can see how the second and third round byes can
really effect your performance.
But that aside, the real big deal is getting onto the
Pro Tour. That's the big stage for Magic where the good
money is. It's hard to get there. And I'll tell anyone
that the hardest way to get there just might be to
qualify on rating. To get to the Pro Tour on rating you
have to possess at least a 1950 rating. If you aren't
that high, don't expect your name to appear on an invite
list any time soon. After factoring all other invites,
the top rated players in the format corresponding to the
event in question get an invite. This usually results
in the top 75-100 players in that format being invited
to the event. So, I'm sure this easily explains the
level of competition at a Pro Tour event.
With all of that explained and out to rest, let's assume
that you never plan to play in any major event for
Magic. I think everyone should at least attempt to if
they like competition. The prize money is great and I
have had lots of good experiences that have created many
memories at large tournaments. However, large
tournaments and high competition may not be your thing.
If you aren't planning on playing in these large events,
does your rating still mean anything to you? That's for
you to answer. However, I think that it can mean a lot.
More than anything your rating proves consistency. It
shows how you are doing on a long term basis. I always
tell players not to check their rating every week. We
know that your rating is going to go up or down a few
points with every update, assuming you play every week.
So you aren't going to learn much check weekly. If you
look at your rating monthly, you will have a better
assessment of how well you are doing. If you play every
week and your rating goes up 25 points over the course
of a month, that shows that you had consistently good
success over the course of the month. Obviously,
reviewing over longer stretches yields event truer
results. I take this a step further and post ratings
for the top 20 players locally in each format on a
bulletin board in my store. It's fun. It encourages
competitive play. Players work to get ahead of each
other. So, in addition to making the competitive
environment more fun, it helps people gauge their own
progress.
But, I have to tell you that you won't get your rating
up real high by ONLY playing in Friday Night Magic
tournaments. Don't take this the wrong way. I think
Friday Night Magic is the single best way to try out new
decks, ideas, and strategies in a competitive
environment. I remember driving to stores to play on
Friday nights before big Saturday events. This was long
before the term "Friday Night Magic" was even being
used. The thing is, you can't work your rating up real
high playing in just those events. Remember that whole
ELO thing we discussed up top? Well, FNM is the lowest
on the rung for K-value events. It's only 8K. That's
why it's a good place to play and practice. You don't
risk gaining or losing more than eight points per
match. And for the average player, that loss or gain is
likely going to be in the range of two to four points.
However, the MINIMUM that any other tournament is
sanctioned at is 16K. So if you want to work your
rating, a good suggestion is to keep attending those FNM
events, but also attend another event AT LEAST every
other week. I also think that non-FNM events is the
best way to test how good you are as well. You will be
competing against more dedicated players and proven
decks usually.
Well, I hope this gives you all the information you need
on figuring out the usefulness of your rating. It can
be a lot to absorb. Just remember, knowledge is power.
I know that locally I plan to so some events that are
only open to players of 1700 rating or higher for some
big prizes. So maybe that's something other stores or
judges should organize for fun. It will also encourage
players to work harder. But now I'm just musing and
rambling.
Until next time,
DeQuan Watson
a.k.a. PowrDragn
at Pojo dot com
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